Browsing by Author "Preecha Vichitthamaros"
Jeerawadee Pumjaroen; Preecha Vichitthamaros (National Institute of Development Administration, 2019)
The research aims to identify Composite Leading Indexes (CLIs) and develops the Early Warning System (EWS) by Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM). The objective of EWS is to forecast the Economic Cycle (EC) in short-term, medium-term, and long-term periods. Data from Thailand during Q1/2003-Q4/2008 are applied to pursue the purposes. The research uses Real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) as a proxy for the Thai economy, which is the target variable that EWS aims to early signal. The indicators from various economic sectors ...