Browsing GSDE: Theses by Author "Lu, Xiaoman"
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Regime-switching housing price cycle in China Lu, Xiaoman; Yuthana Sethapramote (National Institute of Development Administration, 2018)
This paper aims to examine the house price cycle at the province level of China using the three-regime Markov-switching model. Our findings indicate that, in Xinjiang, Chongqing and Jiangsu, there was no secular slowdown in growth since the rapid-growth regime re-emerged at some stage. While during economic downturn and rapid economic growth, house prices fall and grow fastest, respectively, in the central region. However, during normal growth regime, house prices increase fastest in the eastern provinces. These findings indicate regional ...