Farmers’ Perception and Adaptation to Climate Variability: A Study of Recurrent Drought Area in Tambon Nong Phra, Pichit
การรับรู้กับการปรับตัวของเกษตรกรต่อความแปรปรวนของภูมิอากาศ: ศึกษาพื้นที่ภัยแล้งซ้ำซาก ตำบลหนองพระ จังหวัดพิจิตร
by Jiratchaya Sirilakeanun
Title: | Farmers’ Perception and Adaptation to Climate Variability: A Study of Recurrent Drought Area in Tambon Nong Phra, Pichit การรับรู้กับการปรับตัวของเกษตรกรต่อความแปรปรวนของภูมิอากาศ: ศึกษาพื้นที่ภัยแล้งซ้ำซาก ตำบลหนองพระ จังหวัดพิจิตร |
Author(s): | Jiratchaya Sirilakeanun |
Contributor(s): | NIDA. The Graduate School of Environmental Development Administration |
Advisor: | Witchuda Srang-iam |
Degree name: | Master of Science (Environmental Management) |
Degree level: | Thesis |
Degree discipline: | Environmental Management |
Degree grantor: | National Institute of Development Administration |
Issued date: | 10/15/19 |
Publisher: | NIDA |
Abstract: |
This study explores cognitive processes and conditions that determine perceived risk and perceived adaptive capacity, using the grounded theory methodology. The purpose of this study is a) to investigate farmers’ perception of risk and adaptive capacity to climate variability, b) to analyze patterns of farmers’ perceived risk and perceived adaptive capacity, and c) to explain farmers’ perceptive and adaptive patterns. The study obtains data from unstructured, in-depth interviews with 20 rice farmers in the non-irrigated area with recurrent drought in Tambon Nong Phra, Pichit.
The study result shows that perceived risk, perceived adaptive capacity, perceived outcomes, and adaptation strategies of the farmers are interrelated to determine patterns of perception and adaptation. The patterns are namely: coping, recurring, incremental, and transformative. The coping pattern emerges from perception of risk as mild and capable of being managed, resulting in coping adaptation strategies and consequently predictable outcome. The recurring pattern emerges from perception of risk as predictable but incapable of being managed. The perceived adaptive incapacity then leads to self-contained adaptation strategies and unwillingly accepted outcome. The incremental pattern emerges from perception of risk as unpredictable but capable of being managed; thus, farmers choose adaptation strategies for the long term. Perceived outcome can affect perception and adaptation strategies; that is, farmers will opt for the coping pattern, as they see outcome as expected, or switch to the recurring pattern when perceived outcome is worse than expected, but acceptable. The transformative pattern emerges from perception of risk as unpredictable but capable of being managed. Unlike the incremental pattern, the transformative pattern occurs as unfavorable outcome urge farmers to increase their adaptive capacity that allows transformation into new practice.
These patterns can be explained by four perceptive conditions that determine adaptation trajectories, namely, sense of security, fear of taking risks, exposure to climate information, and persistent tendency. Some conditions may constitute mind traps for maladaptation, a practice that results in increased vulnerability to climate variability. Therefore, in order to avoid maladaptation, it is necessary to enhance reasonable risk perception, i.e., neither overestimated nor underestimated, and to increase perceived adaptive capacity by providing farmers with knowledge of locally-appropriate adaptation strategies, highlighting their effectiveness that can motivate farmers’ adoption as well as supporting poor farmers with resources. |
Description: |
NIDA, 2019 |
Subject(s): | Psychology |
Keyword(s): | การรับรู้ความเสี่ยง
การรับรู้ความสามารถในการปรับตัว การปรับตัว การเกษตร ทฤษฎีฐานราก |
Type: | Thesis |
Language: | th |
Rights holder(s): | NIDA |
URI: | https://repository.nida.ac.th/handle/662723737/4996 |
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