Projection of Change in the Quantity of Carbondioxides of Thailand Following Changes in Economic Factors, Sources, and Population over the Period of 10 Years
การคาดการณ์การเปลี่ยนแปลงปริมาณคาร์บอนไดออกไซด์ของประเทศไทยระยะ 10 ปี จากปัจจัยการเติบโตทางเศรษฐกิจ การเปลี่ยนแปลงโครงสร้างแหล่งกำเนิด และการเปลี่ยนแปลงของประชากร
by Waratip Wattanawinitchai
Title: | Projection of Change in the Quantity of Carbondioxides of Thailand Following Changes in Economic Factors, Sources, and Population over the Period of 10 Years การคาดการณ์การเปลี่ยนแปลงปริมาณคาร์บอนไดออกไซด์ของประเทศไทยระยะ 10 ปี จากปัจจัยการเติบโตทางเศรษฐกิจ การเปลี่ยนแปลงโครงสร้างแหล่งกำเนิด และการเปลี่ยนแปลงของประชากร |
Author(s): | Waratip Wattanawinitchai |
Contributor(s): | NIDA. The Graduate School of Environmental Development Administration |
Advisor: | Sompote Kunnoot |
Degree name: | Master of Science (Environmental Management) |
Degree level: | Thesis |
Degree discipline: | Environmental Management |
Degree grantor: | National Institute of Development Administration |
Issued date: | 10/8/19 |
Publisher: | NIDA |
Abstract: |
The release of CO2 of Thailand has increased 1.96 folds from 161,154 Kilo tons to 316,213 Kilo tons over 20 years between years 1995 to 2014. The sources of CO2 are manufacturing, electricity generation, transport, and others, which in 1995 accounts for 22.75 %, 37.79 %, 33.43 % and 6.02 % respectively, and in 2014 accounts for 20.89 %, 46.60 %, 24.27 % and 7.79 % respectively. The aim of this study was to project the volume of Thailand’s economy to be used for the projection of the quantity of CO2 for years 2015-2025, using trend equations including linear, quadratic, and cubic forms from time series database released by the Office of National Economic and Social Development Board, and the World Bank. The projection of chain volume measures gross domestic products (CVMGDP) from the ratio of capital stock and labor force consists of 2 paths: linear and exponential growth paths. The projection of value added from CVMGDP gave a declining path for manufacturing, and increasing for electricity generation, and transport for the 2 paths. The CO2 quantity was projected in case 1 to increase in near term and decline in the long term for the manufacturing and electricity generation, as the trend for the two sectors is in quadratic declining form, and to increase in both near and long terms for the transport, as the trend is linear increasing. The CO2 quantity was projected in case 2 to increase in near term and decline in the long term for the manufacturing and to increase in both near and long terms for the electricity generation and transport. The CO2 quantity from other sources was projected to increase in near term and decline in the long term. Measures to curb the growth of CO2 can originate from policies that promote users’ own generation of electricity from solar energy which has fewer limitations compared to other clean energy, and promote transportation powered by electricity. |
Description: |
NIDA, 2019 |
Subject(s): | Environmental Science |
Keyword(s): | การคาดประมาณ GDP ประเทศไทย
โครงสร้างเศรษฐกิจ การคาดประมาณ CO2 โครงสร้าง CO2 |
Type: | Thesis |
Language: | th |
Rights holder(s): | NIDA |
URI: | https://repository.nida.ac.th/handle/662723737/4999 |
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