Forecasting future trends to inform and shape the urban development strategic plan of Bangkok as a creative design city
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2025
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2568
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eng
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160 leaves
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This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.
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Srayoot Thadsri (2025). Forecasting future trends to inform and shape the urban development strategic plan of Bangkok as a creative design city. Retrieved from: https://repository.nida.ac.th/handle/123456789/7226.
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Forecasting future trends to inform and shape the urban development strategic plan of Bangkok as a creative design city
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Abstract
This research employs a mixed-methods approach to study future forecasting for driving Bangkok Thailand's urban development plan as a creative city of design. The main objectives are to analyze the current situation of private sector operations and government support according to urban development strategic guidelines, to examine the opportunities, obstacles, problems, and approaches to eliminating the barriers in developing the economy through creative industries, and to analyze future forecasting through creating strategic cooperation mechanisms between the government and private sectors. The research methodology involved two phases of the data collection: in-depth interviews with 12 key informants representing the government and private sectors involved in creative city development, and quantitative surveys from a sample of 400 respondents for the confirmatory factor analysis and structural equation modeling analysis. This research has created significant theoretical developments in several dimensions. First, it extends the public-private partnership concept to creative city development. The research demonstrates that cooperation concepts in creative city development contexts do not include merely traditional financial risk-sharing, but also creating creative ecosystems that integrate social, cultural, and economic capital. This expands the understanding from focusing solely on economic efficiency to creating shared value that includes sustainable urban development. The second conceptual development concerns developing a new public governance framework in creative city development contexts. The research extends the original concept from focusing on network creation and participation to integrating network governance, participatory governance, strategic management, and new public management concepts into a unified framework. This demonstrates that creative city development requires new public management approaches emphasizing creating spaces for stakeholder co-creation rather than merely controlling or providing services from the government alone. The third aspect involves creating a new concept of creative urban futures through combining strategic foresight with the STEEP analysis (Social, Technological, Economic, Environmental and Political). The research develops creative city future forecasting methods that integrate trend analysis in social, technological, economic, environmental, and political dimensions with participatory scenario planning processes, a creating deeper understanding of creative city transformation dynamics. The study results reveal that success in developing Bangkok as a creative city of design requires integrating four main critical components: government policies and support; infrastructure and urban management; human resource development and collaboration; and public and community engagement. The structural equation modeling analysis demonstrates statistically significant causal relationships among these variables. The research presents comprehensive policy and practical recommendations covering long-term vision and strategy creation, including establishing national-level coordinating organizations, improving legal and regulatory systems, creating financial and tax incentives, and developing education policies promoting creativity, along with operational processes emphasizing development plan stability, sustainable budget allocation, good governance management, and creating continuity in order to ensure that creative city development achieves sustainability and maximum benefits for the country's economic, social, and cultural development.
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Thesis (Ph.D. (Public Administration))--National Institute of Development Administration, 2025